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December 5, 2007

Nobel Prize for Explaining Global Warming Hoax

The Wall Street Journal reveals that a Nobel Prize has been awarded for the science behind the global warming hoax.

Obviously this does not refer to the Goracle's bogus Peace Prize, which has everything to do with leftist politics and nothing to do with science. Nor has a prize been awarded to the scientists who have shown the independence and integrity to discredit the hoax. But Daniel Kahneman did get a Nobel in 2002 for research that explains how the hoax works.

Kahneman studied "availability bias" — our tendency to judge the validity of a proposition by its familiarity. Arising from this research are the terms "availability cascade" (describing how a proposition becomes accepted if the media repeats it), "informational cascade" (our tendency to throw out our beliefs in favor of everyone else's), and "reputational cascade" (the rational incentive to make our beliefs conform to the herd).

Availability cascades pose a problem for scientists:

What if the heads being counted to certify an alleged "consensus" arrived at their positions by counting heads?

That is, scientists are like everyone else in that they buy into the global warming hoax only because they've been convinced everyone else is.

This is no problem for the Goracle, who stands to get very rich off the hoax, despite a lifestyle that strongly suggests he doesn't believe in it himself.

On tips from Varla and Bergbikr.

Posted by Van Helsing at December 5, 2007 12:42 PM


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Comments

You mean there's a damned term for this? When I was studying evolution and later, biblical scholarship, we called it the "Dr. so-and-so said it" phenom, i.e. nobody ever bothers to check out a theory or reasoning set forth because after all, some "great authority" untold years ago first put it forth in writing. So the authority of the matter rested on some PhD who never tested it to begin with. But that didn't matter, because Dr. so-and-so's word was enough.

Posted by: fellowes at December 5, 2007 6:09 PM

When Moonbats turn on Moonbats, the judgement day draws near. Let the a-holy (non-religious sanctionin) wars begin...

http://hillaryattacks.barackobama.com/

Posted by: Scott at December 5, 2007 7:13 PM

Meanwhile, the most populous Muslim nation in the world shows the liberal-Western wannabes exactly how fair and just dhimmi laws are by not executing the thugs who beheaded three kaffir schoolgirls.

http://www.asianews.it/index.php?l=en&art=10953&size=A

Hat Tip to Jawa.

Posted by: Scott at December 5, 2007 7:34 PM

White is once again the new black.

'Arlington Schools Hire Race-Baiting Diversity Consultant'

http://www.openmarket.org/2007/11/20/arlington-schools-hire-race-baiting-diversity-consultant/

Via Coulter.

Posted by: Scott at December 5, 2007 8:02 PM