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September 15, 2006
Ten Years to Doomsday
If you have any long-term investments, now might be a good time to unload them. A scientist agrees that we have 10 years left to start listening to Al Gore or the planet is doomed.
Even if the summer of 2006 wasn't as hot as that of 1936, it was still hot enough to remind us that if it got a lot hotter, it might be too hot. Arctic ice has been melting.
Yelps James Hansen at NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies:
I think we have a very brief window of opportunity to deal with climate change ... no longer than a decade, at the most.
Hansen, who believes the Bush Administration is trying to silence him, wants us to stop burning fossil fuels. Perhaps as an alternative we could use telekinesis to make our cars go.
Although Gore has alarmed true believers with graphics suggesting that Florida will soon be submerged, others remain skeptical. As Julian Dowdeswell of the Scott Polar Research Institute observes:
The melting of the Arctic ice will not itself contribute to global sea-level rise, as the ice floating in the sea is already displacing its own mass in the water. When the ice cube melts in your gin and tonic, the liquid in your glass does not rise.
But progressives might counter this by pointing out that when they get sufficiently agitated about global warming to start waving their arms around, their beer rises up in the bottle and pours out over their hands.
Environmental sciences professor Fred Singer of University of Virginia has also voiced skepticism:
Any warming from the growth of greenhouse gases is likely to be minor, difficult to detect above the natural fluctuations of the climate, and therefore inconsequential. In addition, the impacts of warming and of higher CO2 levels are likely to be beneficial for human activities and especially for agriculture.
Sami Solanki of the Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research is among those who note that if there is any global warming, it's caused by the sun:
It is brighter than it was a few hundred years ago and this brightening started relatively recently – in the last 100 to 150 years.
This might explain NASA's observation that it's getting warmer on Mars.
David Bellamy of the Conservation Foundation spells out the unbelievers' point of view:
Global warming – at least the modern nightmare version – is a myth. I am sure of it and so are a growing number of scientists. But what is really worrying is that the world's politicians and policy-makers are not.
Instead, they have an unshakeable faith in what has, unfortunately, become one of the central credos of the environmental movement: humans burn fossil fuels, which release increased levels of carbon dioxide – the principal so-called greenhouse gas – into the atmosphere, causing the atmosphere to heat up. They say this is global warming, I say this is poppycock.
But all these Doubting Thomases are failing to take into account a study released by the Congressional Black Caucus Foundation, which found that global warming is real and caused by white folks.
Just to be on the safe side, banks might want to stop offering anything longer than a 10-year mortgage — unless normal people develop a capacity to take Prince Albert seriously.

On a tip from Wiggins.
Posted by Van Helsing at September 15, 2006 10:07 AM
Comments
We only had a decade to save the planet back in '96.
Posted by: Archonix at September 15, 2006 11:00 AM
We've got to do something about global warming, or it'll be a disaster of Y2K proportions!
Seriously, I'd often pointed out to global warming scaremongers that Arctic ice melting would actually cause sea levels to recede, because ice is less dense than liquid water. They looked at me as though I were crazy. High school science teachers clearly have their work cut out for them.
Posted by: Occam's Beard at September 15, 2006 12:11 PM
The "principal greenhouse gas" is not carbon dioxide, but rather water vapor, and its effects greatly overshadow any effects from CO2. There is roughly 100 times more H2O in the atmosphere than CO2, a fact which global warming cheerleaders rarely address.
Posted by: Sax Maniac at September 15, 2006 12:57 PM
Does this mean that in ten years we can stop hearing this horse shit? I bet not.
Posted by: Tony B at September 15, 2006 2:19 PM
The thing about a decade is, it's just short enough to get people worried when you pronounce that the end of the decade will bring horrible woe, but just long enough for them to forget you said it when they get there.
Posted by: Archonix at September 15, 2006 3:00 PM
If we start espousing all that Al Gore and his gorons spew forth,
we should all be "done" in about 3 yrs.
Posted by: Jael at September 15, 2006 6:43 PM
Water vapor isnt a gas!
Water vapor is water.
And it becomes dew or rain! A good thing.
Posted by: glezzery at September 15, 2006 7:42 PM
If H2O has a greater effect on the environment than CO2, and since the output from a hydrogen engine is H2O, the environment would be much worse off.
What, then, will the environmentalists suggest we replace the hydrogen engine with – a unicycle or pogo stick?
( THE LAW OF UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES AT WORK )
Posted by: pocomoco at September 15, 2006 9:23 PM
Glezzery, water vapour is a gas. It's neither a liquid nor a solid which means it's either a plasma or a gas. Since a plasma made from water would be at a temperature of several thousand degrees, it must be a gas.
Posted by: Archonix at September 16, 2006 6:28 AM
Here is a good discussion of global warming and what it really means: The Real 'Inconvenient Truth'
Posted by: White Cane at September 16, 2006 6:36 PM
How did I stumble in here amongst you neanderthals. Hopefully you'll all be stuck in the same un-airconditioned room in a Chicago high-rise around 2030.
Posted by: doc at September 28, 2006 9:14 AM

