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October 17, 2005
Global Warming Myths
Undoubtedly swayed by the pernicious influence of sinister oil corporations that insist on providing us with energy in exchange for grubby profits, President Bush has shown no inclination to champion the moribund Kyoto accords, Mother Earth's last hope against the scourge of global warming. Now we are paying the price. The New York Times asserts that the autumn colors that make the Northeast so lovely in the fall may not be as bright as usual this year — and that global warming is to blame.
President Bush, sign Kyoto! Plunge us into a depression, but give us back our brightly colored leaves!
Getting serious for a minute, though the Kyoto accords would cripple our economy, they would have no significant effect on global warming, if there were such a thing. The good news is that there probably isn't.
If the NY Times manages to convince people that fall leaves are less colorful because of global warming, this will join a long list of global warming myths. Here are some other ones, listed and debunked by Friends of Science, a Canadian nonprofit organization that is fed up with the propaganda passed off as science in support of the Kyoto protocols:
Myth 1: Global temperatures are rising at a rapid, unprecedented rate.
Fact: Accurate satellite, balloon and mountain top observations made over the last three decades have not shown any significant change in the long term rate of increase in global temperatures.
Average ground station readings do show a mild warming over the last 100 years, but well within the natural variations recorded in the last millennium. The ground station network suffers from an uneven distribution across the globe; the stations are preferentially located in growing urban and industrial areas ("heat islands") which show substantially higher readings than adjacent rural areas ("land use effects").
Myth 2: The "hockey stick" graph proves that the earth has experienced a steady, very gradual temperature increase for 1000 years, then recently began a sudden increase.
Fact: Significant changes in climate have continually occurred throughout geologic time. For instance, the Medieval Warm Period, from around 1000 to1200 AD (when the Vikings farmed on Greenland) was followed by a period known as the Little Ice Age. Since the end of the 17th Century the "average" global temperature has been rising at a rate of 0.6 to 0.8 degrees Celsius per 100 years; although from 1940–1970 temperatures actually dropped, leading to a Global Cooling scare. The "hockey stick", a poster boy of both the UN's IPCC and Canada's Environment Department, ignores historical recorded climatic swings, and has now also been proven to be flawed and statistically unreliable as well.
Myth 3: Human produced carbon dioxide has increased over the last 100 years, adding to the Greenhouse effect, thus warming the earth.
Fact: Carbon dioxide levels have indeed changed for various reasons, human and otherwise, just as they have throughout geologic time. The CO2 increase was only 0.4% over the last 50 years, rather than the 5% per 100 years quoted by Kyoto. However, as measured in ice cores dated over many thousands of years, CO2 levels move up and down AFTER the temperature has done so, and thus are the RESULT OF, NOT THE CAUSE of warming. Geological field work in recent sediments confirms this. There is solid evidence that as temperatures rise naturally and cyclically, the earth's oceans expel more CO2 as a result.
Myth 4: CO2 is the most common greenhouse gas.
Fact: Water vapour or clouds, which makes up on average about 3% of the atmosphere by volume, and — according to several researchers — about 60% by effect, is the major greenhouse gas. 97% of greenhouse gases are water vapour by volume. Moreover, because of its molecular weight and absorptive capacity, water vapour is 3000 times more effective than CO2 as a greenhouse gas. Those attributing climate change to CO2 rarely mention this important fact.
Myth 5: Computer models verify that CO2 increases will cause significant global warming.
Fact: Unfortunately, computer models predicting global warming are incapable of including the effects of the sun and the clouds. Further, the main cause of temperature variation is the sun. Its radiation changes all the time, partly in cyclical fashion. The number of sunspots can be correlated very closely with average temperatures on earth, e.g. the Little Ice Age and the Medieval Warm Period. Varying intensity of solar heat radiation affects the surface temperature of the oceans and the currents. Warmer ocean water expels gases, some of which is CO2.
Myth 6: The UN proved that man-made CO2 causes global warming.
Fact: In a 1996 report by the UN on global warming, two statements were deleted from the final draft. Here they are:
1) "None of the studies cited above has shown clear evidence that we can attribute the observed climate changes to increases in greenhouse gases."
2) "No study to date has positively attributed all or part of the climate change to....man-made causes."
There is simply no scientific proof that man-made CO2 causes significant global warming.
Myth 7: CO2 is a pollutant.
Fact: This is absolutely not true. Nitrogen forms 80% of our atmosphere. We could not live in 100% nitrogen either. Carbon dioxide is no more a pollutant than nitrogen is. However, CO2 is essential to life on earth. It is necessary for plant growth since increased CO2 intake as a result of increased atmospheric concentration causes many trees and other plants to grow more vigorously.
Myth 8: Global warming will cause more storms and other weather extremes.
Fact: There is no scientific or statistical evidence whatsoever that supports such claims. Growing insurance and infrastructure repair costs, particularly in coastal areas, are sometimes claimed to be the result of increasing frequency and severity of storms, whereas in reality they are a function of increasing population density, escalating development value, and ever more media reporting.
Myth 9: Receding glaciers and the calving of ice shelves are proof of global warming.
Fact: Glaciers have been receding and growing cyclically for hundreds of years. Recent glacier melting is a consequence of coming out of the very cool period of the Little Ice Age. Ice shelves have been breaking off for centuries. Scientists know of at least 33 periods of glaciers growing and then retreating.
It's normal.
Myth 10: The earth's poles are warming; polar ice caps are breaking up and melting and the sea level rising.
Fact: The earth is variable. The western Arctic may be getting somewhat warmer, due to unrelated cyclic events in the Pacific Ocean, but the Eastern Arctic and Greenland are getting colder. The small Palmer Peninsula of Antarctica is getting warmer, while the main Antarctic continent is actually cooling.
Hat tips: Varla, Byron.
Posted by Van Helsing at October 17, 2005 6:41 AM
Comments
Still ...
SOMETHING has to be done about global warming ...
Will someone PLEASE figure out how to turn the sun on and off?
RWR
Posted by: RightWingRocker at October 17, 2005 1:01 PM
An addition to the myth that CO2 is the most powerful GHG should be that Methane is also much more powerful. Methane also quickly breaks down in to CO2 and water. It's been theorised that several of the big temperature rises over the last few million years were caused by sudden huge releases of methane from beneath the ocean, which would explain why CO2 seems to follow the temperature rather than lead it; the Methane was turned in to CO2 by sunlight acting on it. Nobody knows what might have caused these eruptions - it's probably landslides at continental shelves that does it - but it certainly isn't mankind.
Posted by: Archonix at October 17, 2005 1:01 PM
Archonix: When I was at the EnvironMENTAL Protection Agency in Washington, a grant crossed my desk to supply funds for government scientists to attend a conference to study "Methane Emissions from Ruminant Livestock" (farting cows) as part of the Methane/global warming study..
Where do you suppose they held their conference? Kansas city stockyards? Nope! Palm Springs... Do the Dude Ranches in that resort have alot of flatulent cattle?
Anyway.. back to the NY Times and Fall Colors. The article mentions the seasons"perfumed with wood smoke." You mean all those fun lovers taking a trip to see the colors are burning WOOD? Hmm... what ever happened to the lefty slogan: "Think Globally, Act Locally???"
Posted by: Mike's America at October 17, 2005 1:37 PM
Burning wood? Oh noes! Nuclear carbon holocaust! Hate crime against trees!
Posted by: Archonix at October 17, 2005 2:48 PM
"bla blah bla who has studied the effects of global warming on the autumn landscape from New York to Maine."
Wouldn't this professor Rock then be studying local warming, if his studies were confined to the Northeast area of one part of one continent? Yet he sensationalizes the colors of the leaves as another indicator of G.W....poor leaf peepers!!1!1
Posted by: Josh at October 17, 2005 3:52 PM
Thanks for the link to that site mate. It was most interesting and informative.
Posted by: Patrick at October 17, 2005 8:14 PM
VH, this is a great list of myth busters. I'm pleased to see that The Wild Duck isn't the only right-minded thing in Canada, lol
Posted by: The MaryHunter at October 17, 2005 8:18 PM
For Myth #2, how fatally flawed Mann et al's smoking gun of a 'hockey stick' is:
Posted by: Anna at October 17, 2005 9:52 PM

